Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000095 0.000100 0.000106 0.000112 0.000119 0.000126 0.000134
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000092 0.000100 0.000110 0.000120 0.000133 0.000148
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000086 0.000095 0.000106 0.000119 0.000135 0.000155
2025-01-19 0.000072 0.000081 0.000091 0.000103 0.000118 0.000137 0.000162
2025-01-26 0.000067 0.000076 0.000086 0.000099 0.000115 0.000135 0.000163
2025-02-02 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085 0.000099 0.000118 0.000141 0.000175
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000074 0.000085 0.000101 0.000122 0.000149 0.000191
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000073 0.000086 0.000103 0.000126 0.000158 0.000208
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000108 0.000135 0.000173 0.000238
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000072 0.000085 0.000105 0.000132 0.000173 0.000241
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000069 0.000082 0.000101 0.000129 0.000170 0.000240
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000101 0.000130 0.000174 0.000252
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000103 0.000134 0.000184 0.000278
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000065 0.000079 0.000100 0.000133 0.000185 0.000287
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000062 0.000076 0.000097 0.000130 0.000183 0.000289
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074 0.000095 0.000128 0.000182 0.000293
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000091 0.000123 0.000176 0.000288
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000091 0.000125 0.000183 0.000310
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000056 0.000071 0.000093 0.000130 0.000194 0.000343
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000094 0.000134 0.000205 0.000380
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000099 0.000143 0.000228 0.000455
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071 0.000096 0.000140 0.000225 0.000458
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000053 0.000069 0.000093 0.000136 0.000219 0.000451